Toledo Weather

Lucas and Wood Counties

link
476
fxus61 kcle 251620
afdcle

area forecast discussion
national weather service cleveland oh
1220 pm edt fri sep 25 2026

...18z taf aviation forecast update...

.what has changed...
no significant changes to the prior forecast or messaging.

&&

.key messages...
1) dry weather and fall temperatures are expected through
tuesday with rain chances returning by the middle of next week.

&&

.discussion...
key message 1...
pleasant fall weather is expected through tuesday as high
pressure brings dry conditions and near normal temperatures,
with highs in the upper 60s to low 70s. overnight lows may be on
the chilly side this morning and tonight but should gradually
warm up this weekend and next week.

rain chances return wednesday onward as high pressure departs to
the east and weak low pressure enters the great lakes region.

&&

.aviation /18z friday through tuesday/...
vfr conditions are expected through the next 24 hours. scattered
to broken high level cirrus will drift through the skies with no
aviation impact. winds will be from the northeast 5 to 12 knots
over the next 24 hours.

outlook...mainly vfr favored through tuesday, though periods of
overnight patchy fog are possible.

&&

.marine...
northeast winds around 10 to 15 knots are expected through at
least monday morning, producing 1 to 3 feet across near shore
waters. near calm conditions are expected monday afternoon
through tuesday afternoon.

&&

.cle watches/warnings/advisories...
oh...none.
pa...none.
marine...none.

&&

$$

discussion...saunders
aviation...77
marine...saunders

Fulton and Henry Counties

link
790
fxus63 kiwx 251730
afdiwx

area forecast discussion
national weather service northern indiana
130 pm edt fri sep 25 2026

.key messages...

- this weekend, cool, crisp mornings give way to afternoon
temperatures in the low-to-mid 70s.

- dry conditions persist until early wednesday morning.

&&

.discussion...
issued at 126 pm edt fri sep 25 2026

high pressure from quebec through the western great lakes continues
to promote fall-like conditions this afternoon, while plenty of
clouds stream in broad low pressure over the central plains. light
radar returns have failed to reach the ground due to significant dry
air below 16,000 feet.

no significant weather concerns through the weekend and even the
start of next week. high pressure becomes squeezed by a nor`easter
(to the east) and deepening low pressure spilling inland (this
afternoon) to the pacific northwest. by monday, perhaps some high
clouds from the nor`easter spread over northwest ohio, but no other
impacts are expected. temperatures will warm slightly through the
weekend, into the 70s, as upper-level heights risen somewhat due to
a buckling of the jet stream to both the west and east.

our next chance for rain arrives early wednesday morning as low
pressure moving over the northern plains spreads a cold front
through our area. depending on the timing of the front and
instability, would not be entirely surprised to see an isolated
strong storm with a 45-knot 500-mb jet in the vicinity, 35-40 knots
of shear and dew points in the low-60s. additional cyclogenesis is
depicted over the central us thereafter, perhaps bringing wet-
weather locally by next weekend.

&&

.aviation /18z tafs through 18z saturday/...
issued at 115 pm edt fri sep 25 2026

vfr conditions expected for the next 24 hours with light
northeast winds. there is a weak disturbance over illinois
bringing high clouds to the area, but the atmosphere is too dry
for any rain to make it to the ground. if skies clear out tonight
as forecast, there could be some ground fog saturday morning,
but guidance is not indicating fog, so confidence is low.

&&

.iwx watches/warnings/advisories...
in...none.
oh...none.
mi...none.
marine...none.

&&

$$

discussion...brown
aviation...cobb

Monroe and Lenawee Counties

link
241
fxus63 kdtx 251845
afddtx

area forecast discussion
national weather service detroit/pontiac mi
245 pm edt fri sep 25 2026

.key messages...

- dry and pleasant weekend.

- next rain opportunity midweek.

&&

.discussion...

an extremely dry airmass is in place over southeast michigan today,
as the 12z dtx sounding indicated a dew pt depression of 49 c at 850
mb, 47 c at 700 mb, and a pw value of 0.21 inches. the pw value
appears to set a new daily record low based on the spc climatology
page. with this dry air and an upper level ridge expected to hold
over the northern great lakes this weekend, it comes as no surprise
that dry weather remains in store. expect mild days and cool nights
this weekend into early next week. shallow ground fog is not out of
the question with the longer nights, but uncertain if the
surface/near surface moisture is sufficient. nam surface
condensation pressure deficits stay mainly above 5 mb.

a slow evolving upper level pattern will feature deep, stacked lows
near the mid-atlantic coastline into early week. so although heights
lower modestly monday/tuesday over the central great lakes, the
ridge axis remains mostly entrenched.

the next chance of rain arrives on wednesday as a shortwave trough
tracks through. medium range models then significantly diverge, as
the strength and interaction between the upper level low/trough over
central canada and the closed low coming out of the four corners
region needs to be sorted out.

&&

.marine...

the expansion of a strong canadian high pressure system from quebec
and ontario into the great lakes will provide an extended period of
light winds and dry weather through early next week. some periodic
wind gust potential around 20 knots will be possible across southern
lake huron this weekend, but otherwise, wind gust potential at or
below 15 knots is expected. wind direction will mainly hold from the
north to northeast as high pressure fills in across michigan.

&&

.prev discussion...
issued at 219 pm edt fri sep 25 2026

aviation...

quiet aviation conditions into tomorrow. this afternoon carries only
bkn high clouds streaming across michigan with clear skies
developing this evening. the only aviation item to mention is the
potential for shallow ground fog or shallow low cloud that may
develop with the help of light northeast flow off the lake and
affect the ptk to mbs corridor. there will be a dry airmass to
compete with though, so confidence is low for any reduction to mvfr
or lower in the vsby or cig. otherwise, vfr conditions prevail
tomorrow with light winds holding out of the northeast.

d21/dtw convection...thunderstorms are not forecast through the
forecast period.

dtw threshold probabilities...

* low in ceilings aob 5000 feet through the taf period.


&&

.dtx watches/warnings/advisories...
mi...none.
lake huron...none.
lake st clair...none.
michigan waters of lake erie...none.
&&

$$

discussion...sf
marine.......am
aviation.....aa


you can obtain your latest national weather service forecasts online
at www.weather.gov/detroit.