Toledo Weather

Lucas and Wood Counties

link
059
fxus61 kcle 192339
afdcle

area forecast discussion
national weather service cleveland oh
739 pm edt mon oct 19 2026

.what has changed...
no significant changes to the previous forecast.

&&

.key messages...
1) dry and seasonable weather is expected through this weekend.

&&

.discussion...
key message 1...
a prolonged period of dry weather is expected through the workweek
and even through the weekend as high pressure anchors over the
eastern conus. highs will be in the 60s each day with lows in the
30s and lower 40s each night. efficient radiational cooling and
light winds will result in patchy to areas of frost in the eastern
half of the area tonight and possibly each night through the
remainder of the week, but most of the frost will occur in locations
where the growing season has ended. will need to keep an eye on the
frost coverage typical cold spots of ashland/holmes/wayne counties
tonight into early tuesday morning, where the growing season has not
yet ended. a localized frost advisory may be needed. temperatures
may begin to warm into the 70s as the high shifts east towards
the end of the weekend.

&&

.aviation /00z tuesday through saturday/...
vfr conditions are expected to persist across terminals through
the taf period. light and variable winds will become
northeasterly at 6-8 knots beginning late tuesday morning. like
today, a lake breeze may briefly impact cle/eri with northerly
winds 8-12 knots tuesday afternoon and early evening.

outlook...outside of patchy overnight fog, mainly vfr expected
through saturday.

&&

.marine...
light and variable winds are expected on lake erie tonight before
winds shift to the northeast and increase to 10 to 15 knots tuesday
morning/afternoon and to 15 to 20 knots tuesday evening and tuesday
night. waves may build to 2 to 4 feet east of the islands tuesday
night and a brief small craft advisory may be needed. by early
wednesday morning, east winds will diminish to 10 knots or less with
light northeast winds anticipated by wednesday afternoon/evening.
generally expect onshore flow around 10 knots or less through much
of thursday before northeast winds increase to 10 to 15 knots
thursday night through friday. winds will become more southeasterly
friday night.

&&

.cle watches/warnings/advisories...
oh...none.
pa...none.
marine...none.

&&

$$

discussion...15
aviation...13
marine...15

Fulton and Henry Counties

link
252
fxus63 kiwx 192355
afdiwx

area forecast discussion
national weather service northern indiana
755 pm edt mon oct 19 2026

.key messages...

- dry and pleasant weather persists through the entire week with
highs either side of 70, lows in the 40s, and no rain in
sight.

&&

.discussion...
issued at 234 pm edt mon oct 19 2026

fairly quiet weather pattern this week and currently high
pressure ridging building northward which will allow an upward trend
in dew points and some increase in upper level clouds which
will help to keep lows overnight tonight a bit warmer than the
last couple of nights. however, our southeastern parts of the
area the moistening will lag slightly which will allow slightly
cooler low temperatures in that area, along with the mostly
clear skies and light winds which will help in radiational
cooling. this could yield some patches of frost in those
locations. would recommend that if in those locales that if you
have some temperature sensitive plants or animals, take proper
precautions to protect them from the cold overnight.

otherwise, with the high pressure in place and becoming stronger
later this week with a high amplitude ridge building over the
central conus. this will allow for dry weather and help to keep
our temperatures warmer. high and low temperatures will run
slightly above normal with values in the upper 60s to low 70s
and lows in the 40s through the week.

&&

.aviation /00z tafs through 00z wednesday/...
issued at 744 pm edt mon oct 19 2026

vfr conditions are expected at the terminals this period. light
and variable winds strengthen out of the e-se tuesday. it`s
possible we see some br between 10-13z at kfwa, but most of the
guidance has around 6sm so didn`t include in the taf for this
issuance.

&&

.iwx watches/warnings/advisories...
in...none.
oh...none.
mi...none.
marine...none.

&&

$$

discussion...andersen
aviation...mcd

Monroe and Lenawee Counties

link
371
fxus63 kdtx 200357
afddtx

area forecast discussion
national weather service detroit/pontiac mi
1157 pm edt mon oct 19 2026

.key messages...

- dry weather with mild afternoon highs and cool morning lows will
persist into the weekend.

&&

.aviation...

vfr consists of broken thin cirrus overhead late tonight and during
the morning while surface high pressure is reinforced over the great
lakes. the high takes a position that shifts wind direction toward
the ne off lake huron, and this creates a chance for inland
transport of boundary layer moisture capable of fog or low stratocu
production. it is a low predictability scenario but one worth
monitoring in observational trends for any lower restrictions later
updates. conditions otherwise remain vfr under exiting cirrus while
light easterly wind continues during the afternoon into tuesday
evening.

d21/dtw convection... thunderstorms are not forecast through the taf
period.

.dtw threshold probabilities...

* none.

&&

.prev discussion...
issued at 325 pm edt mon oct 19 2026

discussion...

blocking pattern will result in surface high pressure and ridging
being entrenched across the great lakes yielding quiet weather
conditions through the week.

a surface high pressure will move across the northern great lakes
into quebec tonight and tomorrow. light southwesterly winds today
will become more east-northeasterly for tomorrow while remaining
light. this shift in winds brings the only notable weather item for
this forecast, which will be the potential for some isolated areas
of patchy shallow fog that may develop with the help of the lake
moisture.

thermal profiles over the course of the week will not change all
that much with a persisting warmer airmass that brings temperatures
that are a few degrees above climatological norms. look for
afternoon highs mainly in the 60s with overnight lows ranging from
the mid-upper 30s to mid 40s.

the active northern stream across central canada will attempt to
send a front into the region. it should weaken as it progresses and
only manage to reach the northern lakes before longwave ridge
amplification ramps back up ensuring continued dry and slightly
above normal warmth through the end of the week. high pressure
centered over eastern canada will offer potential for slightly
cooler temperatures friday down to 60 with the northerly flow.
temperatures quickly recover as thermal ridge builds back into the
great lakes for the weekend.

marine...

the influence of high pressure sustains benign marine conditions
this evening and through the week. an uptick in easterly wind occurs
across northern lake huron tuesday morning as the center of the high
strengthens just north of georgian bay, with gusts up to 20 kt. wind
weakens by the afternoon then gradually veers to southwest by
wednesday afternoon. a dry cold front passes through wednesday night
with another broad area of high pressure taking residence through
the end of the week.

&&

.dtx watches/warnings/advisories...
mi...none.
lake huron...none.
lake st clair...none.
michigan waters of lake erie...none.
&&

$$

aviation.....bt
discussion...aa
marine.......tf


you can obtain your latest national weather service forecasts online
at www.weather.gov/detroit.