Toledo Weather

Lucas and Wood Counties

link
911
fxus61 kcle 281034
afdcle

area forecast discussion
national weather service cleveland oh
634 am edt thu may 28 2026

.what has changed...
no significant changes to the previous forecast.

&&

.key messages...
1) predominately dry, quiet weather expected through the middle
of next week.

&&

.discussion...
key message 1...
upper level ridging begins to build in across the central conus
and slowly moves to the east through early next week. surface
high pressure will build in from the north and will generally
be situated overhead for the next several days leading to dry
weather across the region. a low pressure system will drop down
into the far northeast conus that will drag the trailing end of
a cold front through the region on sunday. this will bring a
low chance for some isolated showers on monday, though currently
confidence is low. temperatures through the middle of next week
will be seasonal, with highs in the mid to upper 70s and
overnight lows down into the low 50s.

&&

.aviation /12z thursday through monday/...
vfr conditions are expected with mostly clear skies. light and
variable winds early this morning will become northerly around
10-12 knots with gusts to 20 knots from late morning through
dusk before becoming light and variable again tonight.

outlook...vfr is expected through monday.

&&

.marine...
may get some choppiness in the western basin with north to northeast
winds around 10-15 knots this morning but should be light winds the
rest of today through friday. a cold front swings through late
friday night into saturday with northeast flow of around 15-20
knots. there may be a need for a marginal small craft advisory and
beach hazard statement to accommodate this brief period of stronger
winds. could be a bit of choppiness on lake erie with continued
north flow into next week but current model data indicates it should
less than 15 knots.

&&

.cle watches/warnings/advisories...
oh...none.
pa...none.
marine...none.

&&

$$

discussion...23
aviation...saunders
marine...saunders

Fulton and Henry Counties

link
082
fxus63 kiwx 281023
afdiwx

area forecast discussion
national weather service northern indiana
623 am edt thu may 28 2026

.key messages...

- there is a high swim risk and beach hazards statement in
effect for southern lake michigan through thursday evening.
stay dry when waves are high.

- mainly dry conditions are expected through early next week.

- temperatures will be near seasonable levels through early next
week with lower humidity.

&&

.discussion...
issued at 217 am edt thu may 28 2026

weak front was slowly making its way se across the
forecast area with dewpoints in the low 60s ahead of it and mid
to upper 50 in its wake. the few showers/storms that came close
to ne hillsdale county have dissipated. the overall sfc flow
will become ne and persist for the next couple of days, allowing
drier and slightly cooler air to filter in.

concerns for high swim risk and small craft conditions, which
were already on the marginal side at this time yesterday, appear
to be even more questionable given the overall weak flow that
may increase somewhat during the day thursday. while the
argument can be made to drop both headlines (which grr has
recently done to our north), will keep things in place overnight
and let the day shift assess conditions after sunrise.

outside of the beach/marine issues, no real weather concerns as
trough pushes east of the region and a nw to se omega block
takes hold into at least saturday night with seasonable
temperatures and comfortable humidity. upper level heights
attempt to lower somewhat sunday into sunday night in response
to a stronger disturbance moving through central ontario.
another front may accompany this trough, but little overall
impact is expected. med range models suggest the omega block
will weaken, but much of the midwest and western lakes will
remain dry through the period even as the flow aloft becomes
semi zonal by mid week.

&&

.aviation /12z tafs through 12z friday/...
issued at 622 am edt thu may 28 2026

vfr conditions expected with winds picking up slightly late
morning into this afternoon.

&&

.iwx watches/warnings/advisories...
in...beach hazards statement through this evening for inz103.
oh...none.
mi...beach hazards statement through this evening for miz177-277.
marine...small craft advisory until 8 pm edt this evening for lmz043-
046.

&&

$$

discussion...fisher
aviation...fisher

Monroe and Lenawee Counties

link
465
fxus63 kdtx 280941
afddtx

area forecast discussion
national weather service detroit/pontiac mi
541 am edt thu may 28 2026

.key messages...

- dry and near seasonal temperatures through the forecast period.

&&

.aviation...

building high pressure has promoted clearing skies to start the day
which is expected to hold through tonight. diurnal mixing supports a
breezier afternoon with northeasterly gusts between 15-20kts. center
of high pressure drifts overhead tonight resulting in light and
variable wind.

d21/dtw convection...thunderstorms not expected through this taf
period.

.dtw threshold probabilities...

* none.

&&

.prev discussion...
issued at 328 am edt thu may 28 2026

discussion...

a moderately strong high pressure system builds over the great lakes
today, reinforced from confluent flow aloft. strong subsidence to
support mostly sunny skies but with tempered temperatures within the
wake of a cold front. highs hold in the 70s for most locations,
cooler closer the lakeshore from the marine influence under
northeast flow. an upper-level closed low will dive south from
quebec into new england while a meandering closed low over
california opens up while pivoting into the four corners. this will
strengthening the longwave ridge across the central plains that will
expand into the western great lakes through the weekend. surface
high pressure will be reinforced with us under very dry conditions
characterized by pw values of .25 to .35 inches. this will maintain
dry conditions through the weekend along with extended periods of
sunshine. the ridge will start to fold over into the great lakes as
the western conus wave released eastward in advance of a secondary
wave. this continues the theme of dry conditions and seasonal
temperatures through the end of the forecast period.

marine...

as high pressure expands from northern ontario into lake superior
early this morning, there will be an increase in the north-norhteast
winds across the eastern lakes. wind gusts will reach or exceed 20
knots in the warmer nearshore waters. this will boost wave heights,
leading to hazardous conditions to small craft. winds and waves will
decrease late this afternoon into tonight as the surface high
gradually sinks southward into the ohio valley by friday. a weak
surface cold front will then push across lake huron friday night, in
advance of another strong high pressure system. this may result in
another period of hazardous small craft conditions in the
nearshores.

&&

.dtx watches/warnings/advisories...
mi...none.
lake huron...small craft advisory until 2 pm edt this afternoon for lhz421-422-
441.

small craft advisory until 6 pm edt this evening for lhz442-443.

lake st clair...none.
michigan waters of lake erie...none.
&&

$$

aviation.....kdk
discussion...am
marine.......sc


you can obtain your latest national weather service forecasts online
at www.weather.gov/detroit.