Toledo Weather

Lucas and Wood Counties

link
372
fxus61 kcle 212315
afdcle

area forecast discussion
national weather service cleveland oh
715 pm edt wed oct 21 2026

.what has changed...
patchy fog was added to the forecast for tonight and thursday
night.

&&

.key messages...
1) dry and seasonable weather is expected through at least early
next week.

&&

.discussion...
key message 1...
patchy fog may be possible again tonight and again thursday
night, with some areas potentially becoming dense. otherwise,
high pressure brings dry and seasonable weather through the next
7 days. highs will generally be in the 60s and lows in the
30s/40s.

&&

.aviation /00z thursday through monday/...
going largely with a persistence forecast based on this time
yesterday evening, with slightly less fog potential tonight.
only going to use tempo at tol/fdy/mfd for now for ifr or worse
fog conditions tonight, but will constantly be re-evaluating
this over the next few hours and basing the next forecast on
satellite trends. otherwise, light and variable winds tonight
become northerly less than 10kts thursday. skc.

outlook...periods of overnight patchy dense fog may impact taf
sites into friday. otherwise, primarily vfr is expected.

&&

.marine...
generally light north flow (10 knots or less) through early
thursday night before becoming primarily northeast flow late
thursday night through friday evening. flow becomes primarily
southwest over the weekend. wave heights should mostly be 2 ft
or less, though there is some potential for 2-5 ft waves friday
into friday evening with stronger northeast flow around 15
knots.

&&

.cle watches/warnings/advisories...
oh...none.
pa...none.
marine...none.

&&

$$

discussion...saunders
aviation...26
marine...saunders

Fulton and Henry Counties

link
499
fxus63 kiwx 212315
afdiwx

area forecast discussion
national weather service northern indiana
715 pm edt wed oct 21 2026

.key messages...

- locally dense fog possible again early thursday morning,
especially along and south of us 24.

- tranquil fall weather continues with mild temperatures and
sunshine through this week into the weekend.

&&

.discussion...
issued at 138 pm edt wed oct 21 2026

very few changes were made to the forecast today as a persistence
forecast was largely utilized through the weekend. a large area of
surface high pressure remains over the northeastern us extending
back across the great lakes. with amplified upper level ridging over
the central conus building into the great lakes through the weekend,
a tranquil week is ahead. expect lots of sunshine, light winds, and
highs generally in the upper 60s to low 70s each day. sunday will be
the warmest day of the week with the upper level ridge centered
overhead and highs in the low to mid 70s. little to no rainfall is
expected over the next 7 days; we could see some showers out of a
cold frontal passage early next week late monday night into tuesday
but for now chances remain very low (15-20%) as it remains to be
seen if there will be sufficient forcing and moisture
available. towards the middle of next week, temperature
generally trend towards normal with highs around 60 degrees as
the aforementioned synoptic pattern breaks down.

locally dense fog is possible again overnight into thursday morning,
especially in northeast indiana and northwest ohio along and south
of us 24. light n/ne flow may allow for advection fog to develop
again. forecast soundings indicate potential for small dewpoint
depressions as temperatures and dewpoints are both expected to be in
the low 40s tonight. much like last night, the best timeframe for
dense fog will be between 3 am to 11 am edt thursday, with the
lowest visibilities around daybreak. a sps or dense fog advisory may
be needed overnight depending on trends and where any fog
develops.

&&

.aviation /00z tafs through 00z friday/...
issued at 715 pm edt wed oct 21 2026

fog is once again the only aviation concern this period. chances
appear much lower compared to last night because winds will be
more northerly and we will not have the lake erie contribution.
there is still a low chance for dense fog to develop given ideal
radiational cooling but chances are much higher that it will be
just shallow/patchy br and mainly just at kfwa. have therefore
held with just a tempo 5sm mention there. otherwise, clear
skies and light winds through the period.

&&

.iwx watches/warnings/advisories...
in...none.
oh...none.
mi...none.
marine...none.

&&

$$

discussion...johnson
aviation...agd

Monroe and Lenawee Counties

link
328
fxus63 kdtx 212256
afddtx

area forecast discussion
national weather service detroit/pontiac mi
656 pm edt wed oct 21 2026

.key messages...

- areas of fog tonight.

- mild and dry through the week.

&&

.aviation...

extended stretch of dry and stable conditions will continue under
general high pressure. this will limit cloud production outside of
some passing cirrus tonight and a lower coverage of diurnal vfr cu
thursday. there remains some potential for shallow fog formation
late tonight, with greater probability still focused in the vicinity
of mbs/fnt around daybreak.

d21/dtw convection... thunderstorms are not forecast through the taf
period.

.dtw threshold probabilities...

* none.

&&

.prev discussion...
issued at 331 pm edt wed oct 21 2026

discussion...

longwave ridging in place over much of the southern two thirds of
north america will persist through the upcoming weekend and into the
beginning of next week. the weather narratives are: continuing dry
weather, daytime highs some 5 to 10 degrees above normal, and near
normal low temperatures. plenty of sunshine is expected. the flow
pattern is projected to be quite weak over the next 5 days which
brings the potential for fog and br during each of the nighttime and
daybreak periods. overall likelihood of fog during any particular
morning will be dependent on flow direction and whether a location
will be directly downstream of the great lakes. introduced patchy
fog in the forecast for the morning period thursday through monday.

the only minor blip to the ridging will be a weak surface trough
extending southward from the hudson bay. forecast data supports the
the weak trough or saddlepoint pushing through the area between 06-
12z tonight. the change to the sensible weather will be a prevailing
easterly wind direction that will set up post weak front thursday.

marine...

a weak surface trough will push through the lake huron and lake erie
basins early thursday. a lack of a strong wind field aloft and a
weak surface pressure gradient will lead to a negligible wind
response in the post frontal environment early in the day. by
thursday afternoon, a more organized easterly flow trajectory will
arise in response to the center of surface high pressure building
from quebec into upstate new york. windspeeds of less than 20 knots
are anticipated through saturday.

&&

.dtx watches/warnings/advisories...
mi...none.
lake huron...none.
lake st clair...none.
michigan waters of lake erie...none.
&&

$$

aviation.....mr
discussion...cb
marine.......cb

you can obtain your latest national weather service forecasts online
at www.weather.gov/detroit.