Toledo Weather

Lucas and Wood Counties

link
350
fxus61 kcle 211840
afdcle

area forecast discussion
national weather service cleveland oh
240 pm edt wed oct 21 2026

.what has changed...
patchy fog was added to the forecast for tonight and thursday
night.

&&

.key messages...
1) dry and seasonable weather is expected through at least early
next week.

&&

.discussion...
key message 1...
patchy fog may be possible again tonight and again thursday
night, with some areas potentially becoming dense. otherwise,
high pressure brings dry and seasonable weather through the next
7 days. highs will generally be in the 60s and lows in the
30s/40s.

&&

.aviation /18z wednesday through monday/...
vfr is expected through the majority of the taf period, although
a period of non-vfr conditions is likely in patchy to areas of
fog and lower stratus at kmfd/kfdy/ktol early thursday morning.
similar to this morning, there will probably be a mixed bag of
mvfr/ifr/lifr ceilings and visibilities during this time. any
fog/stratus will lift by mid-morning. winds will be light and
variable through tonight before becoming northerly at around 5
knots towards the end of the taf period.

outlook...periods of overnight patchy dense fog may impact taf
sites into friday. otherwise, primarily vfr is expected.

&&

.marine...
generally light north flow (10 knots or less) through early
thursday night before becoming primarily northeast flow late
thursday night through friday evening. flow becomes primarily
southwest over the weekend. wave heights should mostly be 2 ft
or less, though there is some potential for 2-5 ft waves friday
into friday evening with stronger northeast flow around 15
knots.

&&

.cle watches/warnings/advisories...
oh...none.
pa...none.
marine...none.

&&

$$

discussion...saunders
aviation...15
marine...saunders

Fulton and Henry Counties

link
627
fxus63 kiwx 211738
afdiwx

area forecast discussion
national weather service northern indiana
138 pm edt wed oct 21 2026

.key messages...

- locally dense fog possible again early thursday morning,
especially along and south of us 24.

- tranquil fall weather continues with mild temperatures and
sunshine through this week into the weekend.


&&

.discussion...
issued at 138 pm edt wed oct 21 2026

very few changes were made to the forecast today as a persistence
forecast was largely utilized through the weekend. a large area of
surface high pressure remains over the northeastern us extending
back across the great lakes. with amplified upper level ridging over
the central conus building into the great lakes through the weekend,
a tranquil week is ahead. expect lots of sunshine, light winds, and
highs generally in the upper 60s to low 70s each day. sunday will be
the warmest day of the week with the upper level ridge centered
overhead and highs in the low to mid 70s. little to no rainfall is
expected over the next 7 days; we could see some showers out of a
cold frontal passage early next week late monday night into tuesday
but for now chances remain very low (15-20%) as it remains to be
seen if there will be sufficient forcing and moisture
available. towards the middle of next week, temperature
generally trend towards normal with highs around 60 degrees as
the aforementioned synoptic pattern breaks down.

locally dense fog is possible again overnight into thursday morning,
especially in northeast indiana and northwest ohio along and south
of us 24. light n/ne flow may allow for advection fog to develop
again. forecast soundings indicate potential for small dewpoint
depressions as temperatures and dewpoints are both expected to be in
the low 40s tonight. much like last night, the best timeframe for
dense fog will be between 3 am to 11 am edt thursday, with the
lowest visibilities around daybreak. a sps or dense fog advisory may
be needed overnight depending on trends and where any fog
develops.

&&

.aviation /18z tafs through 18z thursday/...
issued at 125 pm edt wed oct 21 2026

primary challenge, much like yesterday, revolves around
fog/stratus development at kfwa overnight. model signals seem to
keep the worst just se of kfwa, but a few indications at least
some impacts remains. will continue with a predominate mvfr vsby
at kfwa, with the potential for greater impacts in the 9z to 14z
window than currently forecasted. any fog/stratus should burn
off between 14 and 16z. ksbn should be spared any impacts at
this point.

otherwise no flight concerns outside this window.

&&

.iwx watches/warnings/advisories...
in...none.
oh...none.
mi...none.
marine...none.

&&

$$

discussion...johnson
aviation...fisher

Monroe and Lenawee Counties

link
864
fxus63 kdtx 211931
afddtx

area forecast discussion
national weather service detroit/pontiac mi
331 pm edt wed oct 21 2026

.key messages...

- areas of fog tonight.

- mild and dry through the week.

&&

.discussion...

longwave ridging in place over much of the southern two thirds of
north america will persist through the upcoming weekend and into the
beginning of next week. the weather narratives are: continuing dry
weather, daytime highs some 5 to 10 degrees above normal, and near
normal low temperatures. plenty of sunshine is expected. the flow
pattern is projected to be quite weak over the next 5 days which
brings the potential for fog and br during each of the nighttime and
daybreak periods. overall likelihood of fog during any particular
morning will be dependent on flow direction and whether a location
will be directly downstream of the great lakes. introduced patchy
fog in the forecast for the morning period thursday through monday.

the only minor blip to the ridging will be a weak surface trough
extending southward from the hudson bay. forecast data supports the
the weak trough or saddlepoint pushing through the area between 06-
12z tonight. the change to the sensible weather will be a prevailing
easterly wind direction that will set up post weak front thursday.

&&

.marine...

a weak surface trough will push through the lake huron and lake erie
basins early thursday. a lack of a strong wind field aloft and a
weak surface pressure gradient will lead to a negligible wind
response in the post frontal environment early in the day. by
thursday afternoon, a more organized easterly flow trajectory will
arise in response to the center of surface high pressure building
from quebec into upstate new york. windspeeds of less than 20 knots
are anticipated through saturday.

&&

.prev discussion...
issued at 116 pm edt wed oct 21 2026

aviation...

high pressure remains in place again today maintaining sunny skies
and light winds. a washing out cold front over the northern great
lakes reaches the area late evening but only is marked by an
increase high (cirrus) cloud and a shift to light northwest turning
northerly winds. signal isn`t as strong for fog development tonight
though will maintain inherited tempos for fnt/mbs where potential is
best.

d21/dtw convection... thunderstorms are not forecast through the taf
period.

dtw threshold probabilities...

* none.


&&

.dtx watches/warnings/advisories...
mi...none.
lake huron...none.
lake st clair...none.
michigan waters of lake erie...none.
&&

$$

discussion...cb
marine.......cb
aviation.....kdk


you can obtain your latest national weather service forecasts online
at www.weather.gov/detroit.