Toledo Weather

Lucas and Wood Counties

link
138
fxus61 kcle 241132
afdcle

area forecast discussion
national weather service cleveland oh
732 am edt sat oct 24 2026

.what has changed...
dense fog has taken hold in northwest ohio and a dense fog
advisory has been issued until 10 am. any frost and freeze
concerns are becoming more limited this morning and sunday
morning to just areas that are no longer in the growing season
in northeast ohio and northwest pennsylvania.

&&

.key messages...
1) dry, seasonable weather will continue through the first half
of next week. dense fog will impact northwest ohio this morning.
frost and freeze chances the next two mornings will be limited
to northeast ohio and northwest pa, where the growing season has
ended.

&&

.discussion...
key message 1...
high pressure to the east of the area will allow for dry weather
to continue through sunday. while a weak, dry cold front will
enter on monday, another high pressure system will return on
tuesday, keeping the pattern dry and seasonable. this morning,
the main concern will be the trapped near surface moisture in
northwest ohio, which has turned into dense fog. a dense fog
advisory is in effect until 10 am. in northeast ohio and
northwest pennsylvania, temperatures will fall into the upper
20s to mid 30s this morning and sunday morning, allowing for a
frost/freeze setup. however, most of these counties are no
longer in the growing season and will not have headlines issued.

&&

.aviation /12z saturday through wednesday/...
patchy dense fog and low stratus across northwest ohio terminals
will diminish by 15z this morning giving way to areawide vfr
across all taf sites. calm winds this morning will become
southeast at 5-8 knots this afternoon before returning light and
variable this evening. patchy fog is possible again in northwest
ohio tonight into sunday morning.

outlook...patchy fog possible again early sunday morning.
otherwise primarily vfr expected.

&&

.marine...
high pressure east of lake erie today will allow for easterly
winds up to 10 kts develop over the lake. as high pressure
shifts south on sunday, winds will become offshore around 10
kts. a weak cold front will cross the lake for monday, allowing
for west winds around 10 kts. high pressure will enter behind
this front starting on monday night and northeast flow will be
quick to return. winds on monday night into tuesday may reach 15
kts. northeast winds will diminish into wednesday as high
pressure moves nearby.

&&

.cle watches/warnings/advisories...
oh...dense fog advisory until 10 am edt this morning for ohz003-
006>008-017-018-027.
pa...none.
marine...none.

&&

$$

discussion...sefcovic
aviation...13
marine...sefcovic

Fulton and Henry Counties

link
529
fxus63 kiwx 241037
afdiwx

area forecast discussion
national weather service northern indiana
637 am edt sat oct 24 2026

.key messages...

- dense fog will impacts portions of the area through late
morning. an advisory is in effect.

- otherwise, pleasant weather persists through the upcoming week
with highs around 70, lows in the 40s, and no rain expected.

&&

.discussion...
issued at 240 am edt sat oct 24 2026

another day with fog as the only sensible weather concern. latest
satellite and surface obs show dense fog rapidly expanding across
our eastern cwa thanks to another night of light easterly flow off
lake erie and prime radiational cooling. high clouds that were in
place earlier thanks to upstream trough have now largely dissipated
for most of the area and see no reason why fog won`t continue to
expand and persist through the late morning as suggested by plethora
of latest guidance. only question is how far west and south it will
build. with light e to even ese flow, confidence is not high for our
southwest zones. latest satellite shows a rapid expansion to the nw
but very little southward expansion. issued a dense fog advisory but
left off the far west and southern counties for now. will continue
to monitor obs and expand as necessary. surface winds finally veer
to the south tonight and more high clouds should limit fog potential
(save perhaps for our extreme ne areas where lake erie could still
be a factor).

highs today a near carbon copy from yesterday given no thermal
advection. highs do creep up a few degrees sun and mon as very light
southerly flow/minor waa takes shape. a weak backdoor front then
brings a brief return to cool easterly flow for tue but waa
increases again for wed and thu as a decaying cold front approaches
the region. this front looks to stall and wash out just to our nw
with just some very low chances for light rain near lake mi thu into
fri. better rain chances arrive over the weekend but there is still
a high degree of spread regarding exact timing and amounts.

&&

.aviation /12z tafs through 12z sunday/...
issued at 635 am edt sat oct 24 2026

satellite imagery and sfc observations indicate continued
westward migration of widespread lifr cigs/vsbys. earlier
forecast thinking with best potential of dense fog east of ksbn
has been amended to include a period of dense fog at ksbn in the
12-14z timeframe. very poor mixing in weak easterly low level
regime will make improvements slow today, particular at kfwa
where vfr conditions may not return until after 16z. otherwise
for today into this evening, some mid/high clouds will likely
drop southeast across southern great lakes as eastward migration
of mid/upper level ridge axis allows for some warm advection
forcing. will have to monitor potential of some additional fog
tonight, particularly in kfwa vicinity with similar synoptic
pattern in place. the combination of low level flow veering
light southerly tonight and the possibility of some high level
cloudiness leads to somewhat low confidence at this forecast
distance, but it is possible additional forecasts/amendments
will need to be more aggressive with br/fg mention at kfwa
toward end of this valid period.

&&

.iwx watches/warnings/advisories...
in...dense fog advisory until 10 am edt /9 am cdt/ this morning for
inz005>009-014-015-017-018-023>027-032>034-103-104-116-
204-216.
oh...dense fog advisory until 10 am edt this morning for ohz001-002-
004-005-015-016-024-025.
mi...dense fog advisory until 10 am edt this morning for miz078>081-
177-277.
marine...none.

&&

$$

discussion...agd
aviation...marsili

Monroe and Lenawee Counties

link
626
fxus63 kdtx 241115
afddtx

area forecast discussion
national weather service detroit/pontiac mi
715 am edt sat oct 24 2026

.key messages...

- the potential exists for dense fog development sunday and monday
mornings. any patchy/dense fog is expected to dissipate by around
10 am each morning.

- high temperatures increase to around 70 on sunday before a dry cold
front drops us back into the upper 50s to low 60s monday and
tuesday.

- dry conditions through the middle of next week.

&&

.aviation...

another round of fog and low stratus affects the terminal corridor
this morning, although with less consistent coverage and/or depth
compared to friday morning. this helps lifr restriction improve more
quickly and with a lower/shorter duration stratus component,
depending on any late development off western lake erie into the
dtw/ptk areas. observations leading up to forecast issuance are
optimistic but will be monitored through the morning.

also similar to friday is the dissipation of residual lower clouds
by this afternoon. model forecast soundings are very dry above the
boundary layer which leaves clouds limited to bands of cirrus
through the evening. a greater amount of opaque coverage toward mbs
is a negative factor for more fog there late tonight. both lower
coverage of cirrus and a light south wind are more constructive for
fog toward dtw by sunday morning.

d21/dtw convection... thunderstorms are not forecast through the taf
period.

.dtw threshold probabilities...

* low for cigs/vsby below 200 ft and/or 1/2sm early this
morning.

&&

.prev discussion...
issued at 338 am edt sat oct 24 2026

discussion...

fog again developed overnight but not as widespread as last night
due to the southeasterly winds keeping the bulk of the lake huron
moisture out of the picture. better moisture advection off lake erie
tonight still resulted in dense fog downwind of the lake. additional
fog did develop across parts of the thumb but more of the
radiational variety as temps fell into the mid 30s which was enough
with the elevated dewpoints from residual lake moisture. so a dense
fog advisory is in effect again this morning for two areas, the
thumb and near the ohio border. fog should start mixing out around
12-14z again like the past two days.

today will once again feature high pressure at the surface, which is
now centered over new england. meanwhile, a mid level ridge axis
will pass over the area today pulling the thermal ridge closer to
the area helping to increase highs a degree or two over yesterday,
which will carry into sunday where highs may then reach 70 across
much of the area. persistence forecasting with the high still
holding on over the region this time of year suggests we could deal
with another night of fog but conditions are not as favorable with
warmer temps overnight and some high cloud starting to stream in.

longwave pattern then starts to break down to end the weekend with
base of the west coast trough cutting off and then lifting northeast
through the plains through the start of the new week. this occurs
while a strong upper low tracks east across canada helping to
flatten the ridge across the great lakes. a cold front drops through
the state monday which will bring cooler temps back briefly mid week
but a new wave coming ashore the pacific nw looks to then reinforce
the west coast trough and in turn bulge the central conus ridge back
into the area bringing the warm air back. the overall pattern does
remain flatter though with several mid level waves rippling through
it after mid week which will bring some rain chances back to the
area.

marine...

controlling high pressure centers over new england today offering
light southerly winds. speeds gradually tick upwards over the
weekend as the surface ridge maintains control from the east and the
surface pressure gradient constricts. an approaching cold front
could briefly stall out over the straits on sunday, which would
conclude a prolonged streak of dry weather. confidence remains low
for rainfall with this boundary, before it weakens and traverses the
rest of the basin sunday night into monday. a post-frontal northerly
wind shift ensues, followed by a few additional opportunities for
some stray showers next week. several waves of low pressure are
expected to track northeast from the plains through the upper
midwest monday through wednesday. winds and waves should remain
below headline criteria through this period.

&&

.dtx watches/warnings/advisories...

mi...dense fog advisory until 10 am edt this morning for miz047-048-053-
054-062-075-082-083.

lake huron...none.

lake st clair...none.

michigan waters of lake erie...none.

&&

$$

aviation.....bt
discussion...drk
marine.......kgk


you can obtain your latest national weather service forecasts online
at www.weather.gov/detroit.