Toledo Weather

Lucas and Wood Counties

link
522
fxus61 kcle 252301
afdcle

area forecast discussion
national weather service cleveland oh
701 pm edt fri sep 25 2026

.what has changed...
no significant changes needed to the prior forecast or
messaging.

&&

.key messages...
1) dry weather and fall temperatures are expected through
tuesday with scattered rain chances returning by the middle of
next week.

&&

.discussion...
key message 1...
autumnal weather is expected through at least tuesday/tuesday
evening as high pressure maintains influence over the region.
temperatures will be near to slightly below normal over the next
several days with highs in the 60s and lower 70s and lows in the
40s and 50s each day. by late tuesday into wednesday, low
pressure will drift into the midwest with a cold front to the
west of the local area. depending on the placement of the front,
scattered showers may return to the area as early as tuesday
night/early wednesday, but it`s possible that most of the area
stays dry until thursday or friday when an upper trough moves
east across the local area. at this point, impactful weather is
not expected with this system.

&&

.aviation /18z friday through wednesday/...
vfr conditions are expected through the next 24-30 hours.
scattered to broken cirrus will move through the region with no
impact expected. winds will be from the north-northeast at 5-10
knots.


outlook...mainly vfr expected through tuesday, though periods
of overnight patchy fog are possible.

&&

.marine...
northeast winds to 10 to 15 knots with periods of winds close to
20 knots are expected through the weekend with light and
variable flow developing for monday and tuesday. waves in the
central and western basins will generally be between 1 and 3
feet through sunday night.

&&

.cle watches/warnings/advisories...
oh...none.
pa...none.
marine...none.

&&

$$

discussion...15
aviation...27
marine...15

Fulton and Henry Counties

link
826
fxus63 kiwx 252308
afdiwx

area forecast discussion
national weather service northern indiana
708 pm edt fri sep 25 2026

.key messages...

- this weekend, cool, crisp mornings give way to afternoon
temperatures in the low-to-mid 70s.

- dry conditions persist until early wednesday morning.

&&

.discussion...
issued at 126 pm edt fri sep 25 2026

high pressure from quebec through the western great lakes continues
to promote fall-like conditions this afternoon, while plenty of
clouds stream in broad low pressure over the central plains. light
radar returns have failed to reach the ground due to significant dry
air below 16,000 feet.

no significant weather concerns through the weekend and even the
start of next week. high pressure becomes squeezed by a nor`easter
(to the east) and deepening low pressure spilling inland (this
afternoon) to the pacific northwest. by monday, perhaps some high
clouds from the nor`easter spread over northwest ohio, but no other
impacts are expected. temperatures will warm slightly through the
weekend, into the 70s, as upper-level heights risen somewhat due to
a buckling of the jet stream to both the west and east.

our next chance for rain arrives early wednesday morning as low
pressure moving over the northern plains spreads a cold front
through our area. depending on the timing of the front and
instability, would not be entirely surprised to see an isolated
strong storm with a 45-knot 500-mb jet in the vicinity, 35-40 knots
of shear and dew points in the low-60s. additional cyclogenesis is
depicted over the central us thereafter, perhaps bringing wet-
weather locally by next weekend.

&&

.aviation /00z tafs through 00z sunday/...
issued at 708 pm edt fri sep 25 2026

upper level clouds will slowly dissipate tonight as high
pressure builds into the region. dry low levels and weak surface
gradient will ensure ideal aviation conditions through the
period.

&&

.iwx watches/warnings/advisories...
in...none.
oh...none.
mi...none.
marine...none.

&&

$$

discussion...brown
aviation...agd

Monroe and Lenawee Counties

link
215
fxus63 kdtx 252340
afddtx

area forecast discussion
national weather service detroit/pontiac mi
740 pm edt fri sep 25 2026

.key messages...

- dry and pleasant weekend.

- next rain opportunity midweek.

&&

.aviation...

axis of midlevel moisture tracking into the area from the northwest
will cutoff over southeast michigan tonight as it becomes influenced
by the strong nor`easter off the atlantic coast. vfr midlevel
altostratus-altocumulus ceilings are expected to hold on longer into
the overnight. calm winds brings the potential for fog late tonight
as longer nighttime period yields a stronger near surface inversion.
mos guidance is not nearly as bullish and low confidence exists
particularly within the urban heat island of the detroit terminals.
daytime mixing with a very dry air mass below 6.0 kft agl is
expected to bring vfr conditions with low sky fraction saturday
afternoon.

d21/dtw convection...thunderstorms are not forecast through the
forecast period.

.dtw threshold probabilities...

* low in ceilings aob 5000 feet through the taf period.

&&

.prev discussion...
issued at 245 pm edt fri sep 25 2026

discussion...

an extremely dry airmass is in place over southeast michigan today,
as the 12z dtx sounding indicated a dew pt depression of 49 c at 850
mb, 47 c at 700 mb, and a pw value of 0.21 inches. the pw value
appears to set a new daily record low based on the spc climatology
page. with this dry air and an upper level ridge expected to hold
over the northern great lakes this weekend, it comes as no surprise
that dry weather remains in store. expect mild days and cool nights
this weekend into early next week. shallow ground fog is not out of
the question with the longer nights, but uncertain if the
surface/near surface moisture is sufficient. nam surface
condensation pressure deficits stay mainly above 5 mb.

a slow evolving upper level pattern will feature deep, stacked lows
near the mid-atlantic coastline into early week. so although heights
lower modestly monday/tuesday over the central great lakes, the
ridge axis remains mostly entrenched.

the next chance of rain arrives on wednesday as a shortwave trough
tracks through. medium range models then significantly diverge, as
the strength and interaction between the upper level low/trough over
central canada and the closed low coming out of the four corners
region needs to be sorted out.

marine...

the expansion of a strong canadian high pressure system from quebec
and ontario into the great lakes will provide an extended period of
light winds and dry weather through early next week. some periodic
wind gust potential around 20 knots will be possible across southern
lake huron this weekend, but otherwise, wind gust potential at or
below 15 knots is expected. wind direction will mainly hold from the
north to northeast as high pressure fills in across michigan.

&&

.dtx watches/warnings/advisories...
mi...none.
lake huron...none.
lake st clair...none.
michigan waters of lake erie...none.
&&

$$

aviation.....cb
discussion...sf
marine.......am


you can obtain your latest national weather service forecasts online
at www.weather.gov/detroit.