Toledo Weather

Lucas and Wood Counties

link
901
fxus61 kcle 292308
afdcle

area forecast discussion
national weather service cleveland oh
708 pm edt fri may 29 2026

.what has changed...
the forecast remains on track. no major changes were needed
with this update.

.key messages...
1) quiet, dry, and seasonable weather expected through mid to late
next week.


.discussion...
key message 1...
high pressure will continue to dominate our weather pattern
through the weekend and much of next week. a dry cold front will
swing south across the forecast area tonight leading to
slightly cooler high temperatures on saturday in the mid 60s.
otherwise, expect for seasonal temperatures with highs in the
mid 70s and dry conditions through mid week.

the broad level low turns southerly to southwesterly by the middle
of the week allowing for temperatures to rise into the 80s thursday
into the weekend. rain chances will also increase near the end of
the week as low pressure enters the great lakes region.

&&

.aviation /00z saturday through wednesday/...
vfr and dry weather are expected through 00z/sun. at the
surface, a high pressure ridge continues to exit generally
s`ward before a cold front starved of moisture within the lowest
several thousand feet agl sweeps s`ward through our region
between ~04z/sat and ~08z/sat. behind the front, another ridge
builds from the hudson bay area through 00z/sun. ahead of the
cold front, our regional surface winds trend variable in
direction and around 5 to 10 knots. behind the front, n`erly to
ne`erly winds around 10 to 15 knots, gusting up to 20 knots or
so at times, are expected.

outlook...dry weather and vfr are likely through this wednesday.

&&

.marine...
southwest flow will continue through this afternoon with winds
up to 20 kts. winds will shift tonight with a cold front and
north to northeast winds will develop over the lake with 15 to
25 kts of flow. this will allow for waves to build to 4 to 5 ft
and allow for the small craft advisory and beach hazards
statement to continue through saturday afternoon. with high
pressure centered over the lake, winds will decrease and become
easterly saturday night and northerly for sunday through
wednesday.

&&

.cle watches/warnings/advisories...
oh...beach hazards statement from midnight edt tonight through
saturday evening for ohz003-007-009>011.
beach hazards statement from midnight edt tonight through
saturday afternoon for ohz012-089.
pa...beach hazards statement from midnight edt tonight through
saturday afternoon for paz001.
marine...small craft advisory from midnight tonight to 8 pm edt
saturday for lez142>146.
small craft advisory from midnight tonight to 2 pm edt
saturday for lez147>149.

&&

$$

discussion...13
aviation...jaszka
marine...sefcovic

Fulton and Henry Counties

link
962
fxus63 kiwx 292335
afdiwx

area forecast discussion
national weather service northern indiana
735 pm edt fri may 29 2026

.key messages...

- stretch of dry and pleasant weather persists into next week.

- slightly cooler and breezy on saturday.

- warmer, seasonable, temperatures return for much of next week.

&&

.discussion...
issued at 133 pm edt fri may 29 2026

benign weather will persist through at least thursday as an omega
block pattern remains locked in. in the upper levels there will be
little deviation with the local area residing along the interface of
an upper midwest to south-central canada ridge and an eastern conus
trough. deep layer subsidence in this regime will generally keep a
lower column anticyclone in place across the region resulting in
seasonable temperatures, plenty of sunshine and comfortable humidity
levels. a moisture-starved backdoor cold front does swing through
later tonight with saturday cooler and breezier in its wake.
slightly warmer weather (similar to the last several days) returns
by early next week.

ensembles continue to break down the blocking pattern late next week
into the following weekend with increasing humidity and non-zero
rain chances.

&&

.aviation /00z tafs through 00z sunday/...
issued at 732 pm edt fri may 29 2026

vfr conditions with sct/bkn clouds at 25kft. backdoor cold front
moves in during the morning hours tomorrow, with flow shifting
from light and variable overnight to more east-northeasterly.
gusts up to around 20-25kts in the afternoon at kfwa.

&&

.iwx watches/warnings/advisories...
in...none.
oh...none.
mi...none.
marine...none.

&&

$$

discussion...steinwedel
aviation...mcd

Monroe and Lenawee Counties

link
658
fxus63 kdtx 292255
afddtx

area forecast discussion
national weather service detroit/pontiac mi
655 pm edt fri may 29 2026

.key messages...

- pleasant and comfortably cool weekend, followed by a modest
warming trend next week.

- dry conditions through at least wednesday.

&&

.aviation...

a cold front will track across the se mi terminals between 03z and
04z this evening. area satellite data confirm just a few mid and
high level clouds upstream along this boundary, with ample low level
dry air inhibiting any semblance of low clouds. the passage of the
front will be marked by a wind shift to the northeast. the strength
of the post frontal winds will contribute to wind gusts around or
over 20 knots through the night as cold air advection inhibits the
development of a nocturnal stable layer. east-northeast winds will
persist through saturday. the low level winds will undergo some
slight decrease during the day as another high pressure systems
expands into the area from the north.

d21/dtw convection...no thunderstorms will occur through the taf
period.

.dtw threshold probabilities...

* none.

&&

.prev discussion...
issued at 245 pm edt fri may 29 2026

discussion...

12z dtx sounding revealed an extremely dry airmass in place, as the
pw value came in a quarter of an inch, with a 700 mb dew pt
depression near 50 c.

a dry pattern will remain locked in for an extended period as highly
amplified upper level pattern persists. through the weekend,
southeast michigan will be caught in between upper level ridge over
the upper mississippi river valley and upper level trough over
eastern canada/new england. pronounced surface high over hudson bay,
with ridging extending south into the central great lakes, will
allow for cooler air to advect in; the euro indicates 850 mb
temperatures lowering to 6-8 c on saturday. this sets the stage for
a cool saturday night, allowing mins to fall into the 40s.
otherwise, a slow warming trend develops next week as upper level
ridge axis is forecast to move overhead, albeit in a weakened state.
euro ensemble meteograms suggest highs mainly in the lower 80s by
mid-week.

marine...

surface pressure has fallen through the day in advance of a cold
front that drops south across the eastern great lakes tonight. winds
veer to the ne with the frontal passage, causing a brief uptick in
winds/waves to small craft advisory criteria overnight. highest
gusts may briefly touch gale force over inner saginaw bay where
northeast flow aligns with the fetch of the bay. otherwise, gusts
are capped below 30 knots. wind and wave concerns ease by saturday
morning, although localized gusts to 25 knots may redevelop saturday
afternoon for the bay. high pressure fills in quickly behind the
front, leading to an extended stretch of dry and favorable marine
conditions this weekend into next week.

&&

.dtx watches/warnings/advisories...
mi...none.
lake huron...small craft advisory from 10 pm this evening to 8 am edt saturday
for lhz421-422-441-442.

lake st clair...none.
michigan waters of lake erie...none.
&&

$$

aviation.....sc
discussion...sf
marine.......mv


you can obtain your latest national weather service forecasts online
at www.weather.gov/detroit.