Toledo Weather

Lucas and Wood Counties

link
611
fxus61 kcle 300739
afdcle

area forecast discussion
national weather service cleveland oh
339 am edt sat may 30 2026

.what has changed...
the forecast remains on track and no changes were needed with
this update.

&&

.key messages...
1) dry and seasonable weather expected through mid to late next
week with rain chances returning late week into the weekend.

&&

.discussion...
key message 1...
high pressure will maintain influence over the region through
the next several days, resulting in dry weather through at least
early friday. today will be slightly cooler due to an early
morning cold front passage with highs in the 60s and lower 70s
anticipated. tonight`s lows will be the coolest of the week with
overnight temps dipping into the 50s along the lakeshore and
40s inland. a few spots across the higher terrain of interior nw
pa will likely see lows in the lower 40s. from there, high
temperatures will generally be in the 70s through wednesday with
80s likely returning thursday through friday as an upper ridge
axis pushes east into the region. the shifting synoptic pattern
will usher increased shower/thunderstorm chances into the area
late friday into the weekend.

&&

.aviation /06z saturday through wednesday/...
vfr and dry weather are expected through the taf period. a cold
front sweeps through over the next couple hours, with breezy
north to northwest conditions expected through about 00z sunday.
wind speeds are generally expected to be around 12 knots with
gusts to 20 knots, though there could be occasional gusts as
high as 25 knots.

outlook...vfr expected through wednesday.

&&

.marine...
northeast winds peak at around 20-25 knots during the pre-dawn
hours this morning, before settling around 15-20 knots for the
daytime hours today. the resulting waves will build to 4 to 5
ft and allow for the small craft advisory and beach hazards
statement to continue through at least saturday afternoon. with
high pressure centered over the lake, winds will become light
and out of the east saturday night and north sunday through
wednesday. winds should be light enough to prevent the need for
headlines, but the light onshore component will result in at
least some afternoon choppiness during the week days.

&&

.cle watches/warnings/advisories...
oh...beach hazards statement through this evening for ohz003-007-
009>011.
beach hazards statement until 2 pm edt this afternoon for
ohz012-089.
pa...beach hazards statement until 2 pm edt this afternoon for
paz001.
marine...small craft advisory until 8 pm edt this evening for
lez142>146.
small craft advisory until 2 pm edt this afternoon for
lez147>149.

&&

$$

discussion...15
aviation...saunders
marine...saunders

Fulton and Henry Counties

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684
fxus63 kiwx 300615
afdiwx

area forecast discussion
national weather service northern indiana
215 am edt sat may 30 2026

.key messages...

- slightly cooler (closer to normal) this weekend into early
next week.

- bit more breezy late this morning into the afternoon.

- warmer and increasingly humid conditions return late next week
as does some chances for showers and thunderstorms.

&&

.discussion...
issued at 213 am edt sat may 30 2026

a backdoor (ne to sw movement) front was moving across lower mi
in response to a closed wave moving through the anchored ne us
trough. while it will come through with only some high clouds,
temperatures will end up 5 to 10 degrees colder (coldest ne) and
winds will have a bit more kick today in the wake of the front.
the wave will move away, but the overall upper flow will shift
west somewhat and force the omega block setup west as well.
temperatures will still be very seasonable in the 70s, but the
80s will be more confined to sw areas until it shifts back east.

as we head into the latter part of next week and the weekend,
models agree on the blocky pattern breaking up with a semi-zonal
flow and eventually indications of a northern stream wave
moving in for the weekend. in the lower levels, thermal and
moisture profiles will increase, resulting in a return to highs
into the 80s thursday into the weekend, higher humidity and
eventually increasing chances for showers and storms.


&&

.aviation /06z tafs through 06z sunday/...
issued at 213 am edt sat may 30 2026

only item of note in otherwise vfr conditions will be a diurnal
increase in winds on saturday in the wake of a backdoor front.
the winds will die down some after 00z.

&&

.iwx watches/warnings/advisories...
in...none.
oh...none.
mi...none.
marine...none.

&&

$$

discussion...fisher
aviation...fisher

Monroe and Lenawee Counties

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fxus63 kdtx 300738
afddtx

area forecast discussion
national weather service detroit/pontiac mi
338 am edt sat may 30 2026

.key messages...

- dry conditions through monday, and likely remaining dry through
thursday.

- temperatures briefly drop below normal today, followed by a gradual
warming trend for the latter half of next week.

&&

.discussion...

model consensus continues to support dry conditions through monday
and likely through thursday. temperatures briefly drop below normal
today, followed by a gradual warming trend for the latter half of
next week with highs rising +1 sigma above normal.

the well advertised omega block remains intact today as the
shortwave feature within the eastern trough exits into the atlantic.
meanwhile, a low-level anticyclone moves in from the north,
reinforcing the post-frontal cool and stable airmass associated with
ene flow. in addition to veered winds, surface dewpoints have
dropped significantly in the wake of the front, from the upper 40s
to upper 20s/lower 30s. gustiness should wane during the course of
the morning, with just a slight uptick again this afternoon downwind
of lake huron where lower column flow will be slightly more
elevated, along with steeper low-level lapse rates. active
subsidence aids in the development of 1025 mb surface high pressure
centering over the straits with influence extending across most of
the state into sunday. thermodynamically, the lake-modified airmass
limits highs to a few degrees below normal, mainly in the low 70s.

the longwave ridge will take precedence over southeast michigan on
sunday as a split-flow configuration emerges aloft. the surface
ridge will drift slightly south and become more diffuse during the
afternoon, as reflected in the relaxation surface pressure gradient.
temperatures return to near-normal with strong insolation potential.
the next embedded speed max within the eastern trough drops in from
hudson bay late sunday into monday. as discussed previously,
insignificant moisture advection precludes precipitation concerns
once the arc of cva crosses through. increasing confluence aloft and
the redevelopment/amplification of the longwave ridge axis through
the first half of the week should maintain rain-free conditions with
a steady warming trend. highs could break into the 80s again by the
latter half of the week.

&&

.marine...

post-frontal northeast flow has led to a breezy overnight period,
but winds will gradually subside through the morning. this allows
winds and waves to subside below small craft advisory thresholds by
mid-morning. wind gusts may briefly touch 25 knots again this
afternoon over inner saginaw bay where water temperatures are warmer
and flow aligns with the long axis of the bay. otherwise, high
pressure builds in from canada affording an extended stretch of
quiet and dry marine weather well into next week.

&&

.prev discussion...
issued at 1131 pm edt fri may 29 2026

aviation...

by taf issuance, the cold front will have moved across the
terminals, with post frontal northeast winds lasting through the
night. the strength of the post frontal winds will contribute to
wind gusts around or over 20 knots through daybreak as cold air
advection inhibits the development of a nocturnal stable layer. east-
northeast winds will persist through saturday. the low level winds
will undergo some slight decrease during the day as another high
pressure systems expands into the area from the north. persistent
low level dry air will inhibit low cloud development, even within
the post frontal colder air.

d21/dtw convection...no thunderstorms will occur through the taf
period.

dtw threshold probabilities...

* none.


&&

.dtx watches/warnings/advisories...
mi...none.
lake huron...small craft advisory until 8 am edt this morning for lhz421-422-441-
442.

lake st clair...none.
michigan waters of lake erie...none.
&&

$$

discussion...kgk
marine.......mv
aviation.....sc


you can obtain your latest national weather service forecasts online
at www.weather.gov/detroit.