Toledo Weather

Lucas and Wood Counties

link
202
fxus61 kcle 301907
afdcle

area forecast discussion
national weather service cleveland oh
307 pm edt sat may 30 2026

.what has changed...
the ongoing forecast remains fair weather and quiet with no
impactful changes needed with this afternoon`s update.

&&

.key messages...
1) the forecast will remain dry with temperatures gradually
warming up through the middle and end of next week. rain
chances will return late next into the weekend.

&&

.discussion...
key message 1...
an omega block weather pattern has developed over the north
central conus and great lakes region this weekend. at the
surface, a canadian high pressure system is building down
across the eastern great lakes this weekend with a northeasterly
flow. tonight`s low temps will be the cool once again in the
40s away from the lake and low 50s right along the lakeshore.
fair skies and another beautiful weather day is in the forecast
sunday. high temperatures will be in the low to mid 70 sunday
afternoon. high pressure will dominate over the great lakes
region going into the early and middle of next week. a dry
forecast with mostly clear skies are expected to continue into
next week. high temperatures will gradually climb further into
the 70s and lower 80s by the middle of next week. by the end of
next week, high temperatures will be in the 80s areawide. the
next chance for rain will be late friday into saturday but will
remain dry until then.

&&

.aviation /18z saturday through thursday/...
high pressure will build in through the taf period, leading to a
continuation of dry, clear, and vfr conditions. patchy river
valley fog is possible across interior eastern oh and into
interior northwestern pa early sunday morning, but is not
expected to impact any taf sites. northeast winds 10-15kt with
gusts to 25kt closer to lake erie this afternoon shift a bit
more easterly and diminish to under 10kt tonight.

outlook...vfr continues for the foreseeable future.

&&

.marine...
high pressure building over the lake tonight will persist
through much of the week, allowing for light winds and generally
tranquil marine conditions. brisk northeast winds continue this
afternoon, shifting east tonight and gradually continuing to
subside. small craft advisories and beach hazards statements
remain in effect until 8 pm from reno beach to willowick. it is
possible a portion of the headlines between the islands and
cleveland needs to be extended a few more hours this evening.
otherwise, no headlines are expected for the foreseeable future.
flow will remain onshore through midweek and may enhance a bit
at times, mainly during the afternoon/lake breeze hours each
day, which could cause some occasional choppiness.

&&

.cle watches/warnings/advisories...
oh...beach hazards statement until 8 pm edt this evening for ohz007-
009>011.
beach hazards statement until 4 pm edt this afternoon for
ohz012.
pa...none.
marine...small craft advisory until 8 pm edt this evening for
lez143>146.
small craft advisory until 4 pm edt this afternoon for lez147.

&&

$$

discussion...77
aviation...sullivan
marine...sullivan

Fulton and Henry Counties

link
826
fxus63 kiwx 301721
afdiwx

area forecast discussion
national weather service northern indiana
121 pm edt sat may 30 2026

.key messages...

- dry and pleasant weather will persist through the middle of
next week.

- trending warmer by thursday and friday with highs well into
the 80s.

- chances (30-50%) for showers and thunderstorms friday
afternoon into saturday.

&&

.discussion...
issued at 120 pm edt sat may 30 2026

high pressure to the north will help to reinforce a dry and stable
column within low level easterly flow through midweek. a well
advertised omega block will help lock this feature in place with low
humidity, ample sunshine and seasonable temperatures.

the blocking pattern breaks down mid-late week with the upstream
upper ridge folding into the great lakes and ohio valley. return
flow with the surface high shifting southeast will result in a
warming trend with highs well into the 80s by thursday and friday.
chances for showers/storms will also make an appearance later friday
into saturday as a trough axis tracks east into an increasingly
humid air mass.

&&

.aviation /18z tafs through 18z sunday/...
issued at 1245 pm edt sat may 30 2026

a strong ridge of high pressure and very dry air in the low
levels will maintain vfr conditions through the period. easterly
winds gusting to around 20 kts this afternoon will subside and
veer slightly late this evening.

&&

.iwx watches/warnings/advisories...
in...none.
oh...none.
mi...none.
marine...none.

&&

$$

discussion...steinwedel
aviation...agd

Monroe and Lenawee Counties

link
832
fxus63 kdtx 301938
afddtx

area forecast discussion
national weather service detroit/pontiac mi
338 pm edt sat may 30 2026

.key messages...

- dry conditions with lots of sunshine through the middle of next
week.

- cool tonight, then seasonable temperatures prevail. warmer weather
is likely late in the week.

&&

.discussion...

the upper air pattern remains dominated by an omega block over
central north america. the ridge stretching from northern manitoba
to the lower ohio valley maintains clear skies and light winds over
se mi through the rest of the weekend. onshore flow and an 850mb
thermal trough in the wake of last night`s cold front has held
temperatures on the cooler side today with current readings mainly
in the 60s and lowers 70s - the exception being port hope in the
northern thumb which remains a brisk 50f. with dew points a few
degrees on either side of 40f, favorable radiating conditions will
bring tonight`s lows into the 40s for most of the area outside of
the metro detroit urban heat island that should hold closer to 50.
temps rebound tomorrow as the air mass begins to modify and light
wind emerges from the west. mid 70s are attainable by the afternoon
with another day of abundant late may sunshine.

the next lobe of vorticity within the longwave trough over eastern
north america plunges southward across the eastern great lakes on
monday, sending the next back door cold front across the area. may
see an uptick in boundary layer cloud with this feature, otherwise a
dearth of moisture offers another mostly sunny day with highs in the
70s. onshore flow behind the front holds lakeshore communities
mainly in the 60s.

the omega block begins to break down tuesday into wednesday as the
closed upper low over the interior northwest conus gets nudged by a
pacific jet and begins to migrate toward manitoba. this dislodges
the upper ridge which then crests over the great lakes by wednesday,
promoting highly stable and sunny conditions through midweek. as the
surface high progresses into the ohio and tennessee valleys on
thursday, deeper layer southwest flow will favor a warming trend for
the late week. medium range guidance begins to differ with handling
the upper wave as it tracks across the northern great lakes thursday
night into friday, with notable run-to-run inconsistencies as well
as between modeling systems. the grand ensemble space does support
an uptick in instability and chances for convection during this
period.

&&

.marine...

high pressure governs marine conditions through the weekend into
next week. northeast flow subsides this evening as the high pressure
center approaches, leading to light and variable winds sunday.
another cold front drops across the region monday morning, with
light northeast winds developing in its wake. gusts approach 25
knots monday afternoon over inner saginaw bay where flow aligns with
fetch of the bay. elsewhere gusts stay capped below 20 knots. dry
weather is expected through the forecast period.

&&

.prev discussion...
issued at 1248 pm edt sat may 30 2026

aviation...

the center of broad surface high pressure builds from northern
ontario today into the central great lakes tonight. the system
produces a 10 to 15 knot ne wind to reinforce cool and dry air
across se mi resulting is more clear sky for the rest of today
through tonight. even prospects for high clouds are limited by the
blocking mid level ridge positioned from central canada into the
midwest. the surface high center nearby to the north leads to light
and variable wind late tonight and sunday morning becoming lake
breeze dominated sunday afternoon.

d21/dtw convection...no thunderstorms today through sunday.

dtw threshold probabilities...

* none.


&&

.dtx watches/warnings/advisories...
mi...none.
lake huron...none.
lake st clair...none.
michigan waters of lake erie...none.
&&

$$

discussion...tf
marine.......mv
aviation.....bt


you can obtain your latest national weather service forecasts online
at www.weather.gov/detroit.